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Trump not able to break Biden’s steady lead in polls

Washington: President Trump may claim at rallies that he is a superman having beaten Covid, but he is not able to put together a coherent strategy to erode Joe Biden’s steady lead, which nationally is at upwards of  9% and in battleground states averages at 5 percentage points, as per Real Clear Politics.

Trump’s reversal on the stimulus deal, even promising to go higher than what Democrats had planned shows his desperation. Because if people at the polling booths are feeling the economy is not doing well and coronavirus is unchecked, that bodes ill for the incumbent President.  Also, as CNN comments, the October surprises the President was hoping will bolster his numbers have fizzled – such as the Justice Department’s investigations into ‘unmasking’ under the Obama administration and the origins of the Russia investigation. The veracity or impact is yet to be ascertained  of New York Post’s expose on Hunter Biden’s emails implicating his father in Ukraine business


Worse for Trump, there is a growing  belief now that Biden may win by a landslide, which may rule out the possibility of a contested election. Even Wall Street is taking notice. Standard Chartered’s Steven Englander told Politico: “Implied risk for a seriously contested US election looks to be at recent lows … This suggests to us that markets are increasingly confident that election results will be clear on or very soon after November 3. The wide Biden lead in polls and online markets points to Trump needing to overturn multiple state results for serious uncertainty to emerge, a much less likely outcome than if the results are extremely close”.

Meanwhile, in one setback for the Biden campaign, Kamala Harris, the vice presidential nominee, has suspended in-person events until Monday after two people associated with the campaign tested positive for coronavirus.

The Biden campaign said Thursday that Biden had no exposure, though he and Harris spent several hours campaigning together in Arizona on Oct. 8. Both have tested negative for COVID-19 multiple times since then.

The travel suspension interrupts the Biden campaign’s aggressive push across a wide battleground map. The campaign sees Harris, the first Black woman on a major party presidential ticket, as a key part of their outreach in North Carolina, where increasing Black turnout is key to the Democrats’ hopes of flipping the state from President Trump’s column. She had been scheduled to travel to the state Thursday for events encouraging voters to cast early ballots

And as the Indian American vote (about 1% of registered voters in the US) is looked at being crucial in battleground states if the election is close,  a new poll has revealed that they were unlikely to be swayed by either Democrat presidential nominee Joe Biden’s selection of Indian-origin Kamala Harris as his running mate or the relationship between President Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

According to the poll, 72 percent of registered Indian-American voters plan to vote for Biden and 22 per cent for Trump in the November 3 election.


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